Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.125254 0.139311 0.153689 0.169458 0.186227 0.203491 0.222569
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.109343 0.129133 0.150114 0.173886 0.199942 0.227511 0.258766
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.094891 0.118331 0.143987 0.173877 0.207473 0.243815 0.285848
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.086398 0.112971 0.142861 0.178500 0.219379 0.264377 0.317232
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.077573 0.106242 0.139347 0.179684 0.226817 0.279516 0.342266
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.069237 0.099274 0.134857 0.179113 0.231723 0.291389 0.363307
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.062864 0.094109 0.132008 0.180029 0.237991 0.304547 0.385617
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.056439 0.088323 0.127937 0.179060 0.241686 0.314456 0.403979
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.052811 0.085835 0.127700 0.182554 0.250560 0.330333 0.429243
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.048301 0.081808 0.125214 0.182999 0.255536 0.341451 0.448827
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.044036 0.077780 0.122453 0.182862 0.259607 0.351355 0.466885
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.039750 0.073389 0.118941 0.181527 0.262002 0.359096 0.482264
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.036768 0.070744 0.117713 0.183179 0.268260 0.371741 0.503855
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.034898 0.069602 0.118438 0.187334 0.277673 0.388280 0.530235
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.031759 0.066284 0.115957 0.187080 0.281345 0.397679 0.547919
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.030421 0.065668 0.117211 0.191801 0.291419 0.415049 0.575410
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.028149 0.063377 0.115935 0.192980 0.296824 0.426560 0.595711
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.025566 0.060362 0.113441 0.192352 0.299763 0.434911 0.612086
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.023613 0.058244 0.112148 0.193296 0.304711 0.445767 0.631562
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.021333 0.055357 0.109547 0.192274 0.306950 0.453119 0.646645
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.020335 0.054682 0.110263 0.195927 0.315439 0.468465 0.671762
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.018691 0.052674 0.108812 0.196391 0.319575 0.478197 0.689833
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.017046 0.050510 0.107001 0.196246 0.322819 0.486747 0.706405